Minor field studies in Kenya
An integrated analysis of a GIS based electrification tool (OnSSET) with power investment tool (OSeMOSYS) and the water management tool (WEAP)
Anna Berggren and Sara Österberg carried out a study within the framework of the Minor Field Studies Scholarship Program, MFS (SIDA) in Nairobi, Kenya during the Spring 2017 for their Bachelor thesis at KTH dESA.
They developed an integrated analysis of a GIS based electrification tool (OnSSET) with power investment tool (OSeMOSYS) and the water management tool (WEAP). Initially, OnSSET was used to capture the spatial dimensions of rural electrification and identify the optimal mix between grid based, mini-grid and stand-alone systems. WEAP was used to assess hydropower production under two climate scenarios (RCP 8.5 and RCP 2.6) and accordingly inform grid based power cost fluctuation. Finally, OSeMOSYS incorporated the constraints imposed by the two models and optimized the electricity generation mix for Kenya between 2015-2030.
Results show that climate change might negatively affect hydropower production in Kenya and the importance of proper energy demand estimates in energy planning.