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Minor field studies in Kenya

Published Jul 05, 2017

An integrated analysis of a GIS based electrification tool (OnSSET) with power investment tool (OSeMOSYS) and the water management tool (WEAP)

Anna Berggren and Sara Österberg carried out a study within the framework of the Minor Field Studies Scholarship Program, MFS ( SIDA ) in Nairobi, Kenya during the Spring 2017 for their Bachelor thesis at KTH dESA.

They developed an integrated analysis of a GIS based electrification tool ( OnSSET ) with power investment tool ( OSeMOSYS ) and the water management tool ( WEAP ). Initially, OnSSET was used to capture the spatial dimensions of rural electrification and identify the optimal mix between grid based, mini-grid and stand-alone systems. WEAP was used to assess hydropower production under two climate scenarios ( RCP 8.5 and RCP 2.6 ) and accordingly inform grid based power cost fluctuation. Finally, OSeMOSYS incorporated the constraints imposed by the two models and optimized the electricity generation mix for Kenya between 2015-2030.

Results show that climate change might negatively affect hydropower production in Kenya and the importance of proper energy demand estimates in energy planning.